Economic conditions in 2026 are improving, but inflation and interest rates are still high enough to require careful financial management.
After several years of economic turbulence many Australian families are wondering what the future holds for their finances. Global financial markets remain volatile due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and post-pandemic instabilities, and this uncertainty is felt at the household level. Inflation in Australia is easing but still above target, and interest rates, after some relief in 2025, are poised to either hold steady or tick up slightly in 2026.
With cost-of-living pressures lingering and the housing market showing signs of life again, families face a complex mix of challenges and opportunities. In this environment, proactive financial planning becomes more essential than ever to protect your budget and build long-term wealth.
“Proactive financial planning is the key to protecting your family’s future in an uncertain economic climate.”
Australia enters 2026 with cautious optimism. Inflation has begun to moderate, recent figures show it dipping closer to the Reserve Bank’s target range, offering hope that the worst price spikes are behind us. However, inflation is not yet fully tamed, and the Reserve Bank of Australia has signaled vigilance. After lowering the cash rate to 3.60% through 2025, the RBA is now in a holding pattern, assessing whether further adjustments are needed. Some economists predict a small rate increase in the first half of 2026 if inflation doesn’t slow enough, while others anticipate rates will remain unchanged. Either way, interest rates are unlikely to fall quickly, which means mortgage and loan repayments will stay elevated for now.
Crucially, Australia’s job market remains resilient. Low unemployment and steady wage growth have helped many families cope with higher costs, and consumer sentiment has improved from the lows of previous years. People are gradually regaining confidence in their financial outlook, though they’re still careful. Memories of rising interest rates and bills are fresh. The housing market has also perked up slightly, thanks to earlier rate cuts, with property prices in some cities inching upward again. This recovery in housing is a double-edged sword: it boosts household wealth for some, but affordability remains a concern, especially given that interest rates are still relatively high.
Globally, the economic backdrop is mixed. The feared worldwide recession hasn’t materialised, and key trading partners like the United States and China are experiencing modest growth. In fact, global demand for Australian exports such as minerals and agriculture has been fairly robust, which is good news for the economy. Nevertheless, uncertainty abroad remains a significant factor. Geopolitical tensions, such as international conflicts or trade disputes continue to pose risks that could disrupt supply chains or drive up commodity prices without warning.
In the face of this uncertainty, there are concrete steps you can take to shore up your family’s finances. By staying proactive and adjusting your financial habits, you’ll be better positioned to handle whatever 2026 brings. Consider the following strategies to protect your money and make the most of opportunities:
Surviving day-to-day challenges is important, but so is maintaining a focus on long-term wealth creation. Even amid uncertainty, it’s possible to set your family up for future prosperity. Start by clearly defining your financial goals. Are you aiming to buy a home, or a second property, fund your children’s education, or retire early? Aiming for specific targets like these will help shape your financial strategy. Once you know your goals, create a roadmap, this could involve setting a monthly investment amount, a savings target for each goal, or an age by which you want to achieve certain milestones. Remember to account for major life events and potential interest rate changes as you plan.
Staying disciplined with investing during uncertain times will pay off. Avoid the temptation to pull out of investments at every market dip; instead, focus on fundamentals. Quality assets tend to recover value.
Crucially, don’t go it alone if you feel unsure. Financial advice is not just for the wealthy, it’s for anyone who wants to make smarter money decisions. In fact, in an unpredictable climate, having a trusted financial adviser can be your strongest asset. They bring expertise across investment strategy, tax planning, debt management, and risk protection, all tailored to your situation. A good adviser will help you see the “big picture” of your finances, chart a course through different economic scenarios, and adjust strategies as needed.
“With the right advice and a long-term strategy, market uncertainty can become an opportunity”
At First Financial, we understand the challenges that Australian families face in today’s economic climate. With careful planning and the right advice, you can turn uncertainty into opportunity. Our experienced financial advisers specialise in crafting personalised plans that cover all aspects of your financial life, from budgeting and debt reduction to investing, superannuation, and tax-effective strategies. We stay on top of economic trends and policy changes, enabling us to help you adjust your plan proactively as conditions evolve.
By taking steps now to review your finances and seek professional guidance, you’ll be better prepared for whatever the global markets and economy throw our way. Every family’s situation is unique, and a tailored approach can make all the difference in achieving stability and success.
The team at First Financial comprises financial experts who help hundreds of Australians retire well and make informed, intelligent financial decisions. We cover everything from retirement and financial advice, investment and wealth management, superannuation and SMSF, insurance, tax, aged care, legal and lending services. Contact us for holistic and rounded financial management strategies.
Economic conditions in 2026 are improving, but inflation and interest rates are still high enough to require careful financial management.
Reviewing budgets, managing debt and ensuring savings are earning competitive returns can significantly improve household cash flow.
Long-term, diversified investing and smart tax planning remain essential for building wealth despite short-term market volatility.
Professional financial advice can help Australians adapt to changing conditions and stay focused on their long-term goals.
Every client journey begins with a conversation. We look closely at where you are now, what matters to you, and what’s possible. Then we structure our advice to match.
A clear, personalised path to your financial goals.
Proactive strategies to maximise your tax savings.
Tailored plans aligned with your goals and risk profile.
Regular guidance to keep your plan on track.
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“The money just comes in. I don’t have to think about it. And I know they’re always there. They’ve always been there in the background, just quietly making things work.”
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Early retirement and working professional
When Tim received an overseas medical settlement, he and Adam had just 14 days left in a 90-day window. They needed clear guidance, fast. A referral led them to First Financial.
“We’re in totally different life stages, but First Financial built a strategy that supports us both. From urgent legal steps to ethical investing, they handled every detail with calm, care, and real expertise. It’s financial freedom without compromise, and we couldn’t have done it without them.”
Retired widow
Lyn stepped into financial management for the first time after her husband's passing. With patience and care, First Financial supported her through grief, learning, and empowerment.
“After my husband passed, I was completely unsure where to start. First Financial gave me the space to learn, to ask questions, to grow confident. They drew a diagram that I still have. And now, I sleep well at night knowing I’ve got someone in my corner.”
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Retired business owner
After decades of running a successful pharmacy, John sought financial guidance to simplify decision-making and support long-term planning.
“I feel genuinely supported by First Financial. I can ask anything, and there’s no pressure, just clear advice and real care. The money’s growing, I’m not stressed about it, and I feel completely at ease for the first time. I don’t miss work, but I’d miss the support I get from First Financial.”
Australia enters 2026 with cautious optimism, as inflation is easing but not yet fully under control. Interest rates are expected to remain steady or rise slightly, meaning borrowing costs will stay relatively high. Job security and wages remain resilient, supporting household confidence.
Ongoing cost-of-living pressures, market volatility and uncertainty around interest rates make it harder to rely on “set and forget” finances. Proactive planning helps families adapt to change and protect their long-term goals. Small adjustments today can have a significant impact over time.
Reviewing household budgets and cutting unnecessary expenses is a practical first step. Shopping around for better mortgage or loan terms and negotiating rent where possible can also help. These changes can free up cash for savings or debt reduction.
High-interest debts such as credit cards should be prioritised for repayment. Homeowners can use offset accounts or make extra repayments to reduce interest over time. Preparing for possible rate changes can ease financial stress later.
Keeping emergency savings in high-interest accounts or short-term term deposits ensures cash continues to work harder. For investments, maintaining a diversified, long-term approach helps manage market volatility. Regular contributions, even modest ones, can build wealth through compounding.
Salary sacrificing into superannuation and using government co-contributions can boost retirement savings tax-effectively. Reviewing deductions and offsets, such as work-from-home or investment expenses, ensures you’re not leaving money on the table. Effective tax planning keeps more of your income working for you.
First Financial provides personalised advice across budgeting, debt management, investing and superannuation. Their advisers consider your full financial picture and adjust strategies as economic conditions change. This tailored approach helps turn uncertainty into opportunity.
First Financial’s advisers help define clear goals and create a practical roadmap to achieve them. They offer holistic support covering investments, tax, insurance, retirement and lending. With expert guidance, families can stay focused on building lasting financial security.
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